this script simulates movement of nbt in dollars.
it starts at $1 and then adds/subtracts a random float between -0.01 and 0.01 3800 times.
the rate is not allowed to go above 0.9 or 1.10. if the random rate takes it above or below that number it will be pinned at that number.
it keeps track of the total average (std ma).
the real ma over 20 loops. (real ma)
and what we will call the 'limited ma' (ltd ma) (the inaccurate one used by the bot)
it then prints out the results of the final 200 movements/loops.
the (xxx%) is the % difference from the real moving average.
| count | rate | real ma | ltd ma (% diff) | std ma (% diff) | No MA ($1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3600 | 0.987 | $0.984 | $0.993 (-0.899%) | $1.002(-1.792%) | |
| 3601 | 0.992 | $0.985 | $0.993 (-0.852%) | $1.002(-1.749%) | |
| 3602 | 0.987 | $0.984 | $0.993 (-0.854%) | $1.002(-1.776%) | |
| 3603 | 0.989 | $0.985 | $0.993 (-0.829%) | $1.002(-1.769%) | |
| 3604 | 0.980 | $0.984 | $0.992 (-0.792%) | $1.002(-1.789%) | |
| 3605 | 0.984 | $0.985 | $0.992 (-0.734%) | $1.002(-1.767%) | |
| 3606 | 0.988 | $0.985 | $0.992 (-0.681%) | $1.002(-1.730%) | |
| 3607 | 0.998 | $0.986 | $0.992 (-0.619%) | $1.002(-1.640%) | |
| 3608 | 0.999 | $0.987 | $0.992 (-0.555%) | $1.002(-1.543%) | |
| 3609 | 0.992 | $0.987 | $0.992 (-0.493%) | $1.002(-1.484%) | |
| 3610 | 0.988 | $0.988 | $0.992 (-0.433%) | $1.002(-1.445%) | |
| 3611 | 0.987 | $0.988 | $0.992 (-0.403%) | $1.002(-1.438%) | |
| 3612 | 0.993 | $0.988 | $0.992 (-0.358%) | $1.002(-1.388%) | |
| 3613 | 0.992 | $0.989 | $0.992 (-0.298%) | $1.002(-1.326%) | |
| 3614 | 1.002 | $0.990 | $0.992 (-0.233%) | $1.002(-1.215%) | |
| 3615 | 1.008 | $0.991 | $0.993 (-0.163%) | $1.002(-1.074%) | |
| 3616 | 1.001 | $0.992 | $0.993 (-0.125%) | $1.002(-1.002%) | |
| 3617 | 0.997 | $0.993 | $0.994 (-0.105%) | $1.002(-0.965%) | |
| 3618 | 0.993 | $0.993 | $0.994 (-0.093%) | $1.002(-0.958%) | |
| 3619 | 1.001 | $0.993 | $0.994 (-0.094%) | $1.002(-0.923%) | |
| 3620 | 1.006 | $0.994 | $0.994 (-0.054%) | $1.002(-0.830%) | |
| 3621 | 1.000 | $0.994 | $0.995 (-0.040%) | $1.002(-0.792%) | |
| 3622 | 0.999 | $0.995 | $0.995 (-0.002%) | $1.002(-0.734%) | |
| 3623 | 1.008 | $0.996 | $0.995 (0.034%) | $1.002(-0.641%) | |
| 3624 | 0.999 | $0.997 | $0.996 (0.113%) | $1.002(-0.544%) | |
| 3625 | 1.003 | $0.998 | $0.996 (0.173%) | $1.002(-0.452%) | |
| 3626 | 1.003 | $0.998 | $0.996 (0.215%) | $1.002(-0.380%) | |
| 3627 | 1.007 | $0.999 | $0.997 (0.212%) | $1.002(-0.337%) | |
| 3628 | 1.010 | $0.999 | $0.997 (0.204%) | $1.002(-0.285%) | |
| 3629 | 1.016 | $1.001 | $0.998 (0.241%) | $1.002(-0.162%) | |
| 3630 | 1.020 | $1.002 | $0.999 (0.302%) | $1.002(-0.002%) | |
| 3631 | 1.010 | $1.003 | $1.000 (0.368%) | $1.002(0.113%) | |
| 3632 | 1.012 | $1.004 | $1.000 (0.408%) | $1.002(0.207%) | |
| 3633 | 1.007 | $1.005 | $1.001 (0.450%) | $1.002(0.278%) | |
| 3634 | 1.006 | $1.005 | $1.001 (0.444%) | $1.002(0.296%) | |
| 3635 | 0.998 | $1.005 | $1.001 (0.405%) | $1.002(0.242%) | |
| 3636 | 0.999 | $1.005 | $1.001 (0.404%) | $1.002(0.232%) | |
| 3637 | 0.994 | $1.004 | $1.000 (0.418%) | $1.002(0.217%) | |
| 3638 | 0.986 | $1.004 | $1.000 (0.450%) | $1.002(0.186%) | |
| 3639 | 0.987 | $1.003 | $0.999 (0.436%) | $1.002(0.113%) | |
| 3640 | 0.980 | $1.002 | $0.998 (0.394%) | $1.002(-0.015%) | |
| 3641 | 0.980 | $1.001 | $0.997 (0.377%) | $1.002(-0.114%) | |
| 3642 | 0.980 | $1.000 | $0.997 (0.361%) | $1.002(-0.208%) | |
| 3643 | 0.980 | $0.999 | $0.996 (0.298%) | $1.002(-0.346%) | |
| 3644 | 0.987 | $0.998 | $0.995 (0.275%) | $1.002(-0.410%) | |
| 3645 | 0.994 | $0.998 | $0.995 (0.238%) | $1.002(-0.454%) | |
| 3646 | 0.999 | $0.997 | $0.995 (0.203%) | $1.002(-0.473%) | |
| 3647 | 1.007 | $0.998 | $0.996 (0.152%) | $1.002(-0.470%) | |
| 3648 | 1.005 | $0.997 | $0.996 (0.086%) | $1.002(-0.494%) | |
| 3649 | 0.996 | $0.996 | $0.996 (-0.015%) | $1.002(-0.598%) | |
| 3650 | 1.002 | $0.995 | $0.997 (-0.131%) | $1.002(-0.686%) | |
| 3651 | 1.001 | $0.995 | $0.997 (-0.196%) | $1.002(-0.731%) | |
| 3652 | 0.996 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.271%) | $1.002(-0.811%) | |
| 3653 | 1.002 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.318%) | $1.002(-0.833%) | |
| 3654 | 0.995 | $0.993 | $0.997 (-0.363%) | $1.002(-0.886%) | |
| 3655 | 1.005 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.362%) | $1.002(-0.851%) | |
| 3656 | 0.998 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.368%) | $1.002(-0.852%) | |
| 3657 | 0.992 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.355%) | $1.002(-0.864%) | |
| 3658 | 0.993 | $0.994 | $0.997 (-0.303%) | $1.002(-0.828%) | |
| 3659 | 1.000 | $0.995 | $0.997 (-0.249%) | $1.002(-0.763%) | |
| 3660 | 1.006 | $0.996 | $0.997 (-0.160%) | $1.002(-0.633%) | |
| 3661 | 1.002 | $0.997 | $0.998 (-0.070%) | $1.002(-0.523%) | |
| 3662 | 1.002 | $0.998 | $0.998 (0.020%) | $1.002(-0.414%) | |
| 3663 | 1.008 | $0.999 | $0.998 (0.114%) | $1.002(-0.277%) | |
| 3664 | 1.009 | $1.001 | $0.999 (0.178%) | $1.002(-0.166%) | |
| 3665 | 1.006 | $1.001 | $0.999 (0.206%) | $1.002(-0.107%) | |
| 3666 | 1.009 | $1.002 | $1.000 (0.212%) | $1.002(-0.055%) | |
| 3667 | 0.999 | $1.001 | $1.000 (0.173%) | $1.002(-0.095%) | |
| 3668 | 0.994 | $1.001 | $0.999 (0.143%) | $1.002(-0.149%) | |
| 3669 | 0.998 | $1.001 | $0.999 (0.160%) | $1.002(-0.139%) | |
| 3670 | 0.999 | $1.001 | $0.999 (0.144%) | $1.002(-0.155%) | |
| 3671 | 0.991 | $1.000 | $0.999 (0.131%) | $1.002(-0.207%) | |
| 3672 | 0.989 | $1.000 | $0.998 (0.143%) | $1.002(-0.237%) | |
| 3673 | 0.996 | $1.000 | $0.998 (0.123%) | $1.002(-0.268%) | |
| 3674 | 0.999 | $1.000 | $0.998 (0.139%) | $1.002(-0.249%) | |
| 3675 | 0.991 | $0.999 | $0.998 (0.104%) | $1.002(-0.314%) | |
| 3676 | 0.990 | $0.999 | $0.998 (0.099%) | $1.002(-0.353%) | |
| 3677 | 0.991 | $0.999 | $0.997 (0.126%) | $1.002(-0.356%) | |
| 3678 | 0.993 | $0.999 | $0.997 (0.144%) | $1.002(-0.359%) | |
| 3679 | 0.985 | $0.998 | $0.997 (0.126%) | $1.002(-0.433%) | |
| 3680 | 0.989 | $0.997 | $0.996 (0.075%) | $1.002(-0.516%) | |
| 3681 | 0.986 | $0.996 | $0.996 (0.041%) | $1.002(-0.596%) | |
| 3682 | 0.991 | $0.996 | $0.996 (0.009%) | $1.002(-0.648%) | |
| 3683 | 0.991 | $0.995 | $0.995 (-0.053%) | $1.002(-0.733%) | |
| 3684 | 0.995 | $0.994 | $0.995 (-0.121%) | $1.002(-0.803%) | |
| 3685 | 0.995 | $0.994 | $0.995 (-0.172%) | $1.002(-0.855%) | |
| 3686 | 0.986 | $0.992 | $0.995 (-0.247%) | $1.002(-0.970%) | |
| 3687 | 0.987 | $0.992 | $0.995 (-0.272%) | $1.002(-1.030%) | |
| 3688 | 0.993 | $0.992 | $0.994 (-0.272%) | $1.002(-1.035%) | |
| 3689 | 0.997 | $0.992 | $0.995 (-0.287%) | $1.002(-1.039%) | |
| 3690 | 0.998 | $0.992 | $0.995 (-0.308%) | $1.002(-1.044%) | |
| 3691 | 0.990 | $0.992 | $0.995 (-0.289%) | $1.002(-1.047%) | |
| 3692 | 0.986 | $0.991 | $0.994 (-0.268%) | $1.002(-1.065%) | |
| 3693 | 0.982 | $0.991 | $0.994 (-0.283%) | $1.002(-1.134%) | |
| 3694 | 0.988 | $0.990 | $0.993 (-0.313%) | $1.002(-1.190%) | |
| 3695 | 0.991 | $0.990 | $0.993 (-0.305%) | $1.002(-1.192%) | |
| 3696 | 0.993 | $0.990 | $0.993 (-0.291%) | $1.002(-1.177%) | |
| 3697 | 0.984 | $0.990 | $0.993 (-0.284%) | $1.002(-1.213%) | |
| 3698 | 0.981 | $0.989 | $0.992 (-0.290%) | $1.002(-1.273%) | |
| 3699 | 0.980 | $0.989 | $0.992 (-0.257%) | $1.002(-1.295%) | |
| 3700 | 0.980 | $0.989 | $0.991 (-0.251%) | $1.002(-1.341%) | |
| 3701 | 0.981 | $0.988 | $0.991 (-0.229%) | $1.002(-1.364%) | |
| 3702 | 0.985 | $0.988 | $0.990 (-0.235%) | $1.002(-1.396%) | |
| 3703 | 0.983 | $0.988 | $0.990 (-0.239%) | $1.002(-1.432%) | |
| 3704 | 0.982 | $0.987 | $0.990 (-0.266%) | $1.002(-1.497%) | |
| 3705 | 0.980 | $0.986 | $0.989 (-0.298%) | $1.002(-1.571%) | |
| 3706 | 0.980 | $0.986 | $0.989 (-0.286%) | $1.002(-1.601%) | |
| 3707 | 0.982 | $0.986 | $0.989 (-0.280%) | $1.002(-1.627%) | |
| 3708 | 0.982 | $0.985 | $0.988 (-0.308%) | $1.002(-1.683%) | |
| 3709 | 0.985 | $0.985 | $0.988 (-0.353%) | $1.002(-1.743%) | |
| 3710 | 0.983 | $0.984 | $0.988 (-0.406%) | $1.002(-1.818%) | |
| 3711 | 0.982 | $0.983 | $0.988 (-0.419%) | $1.002(-1.856%) | |
| 3712 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.413%) | $1.002(-1.884%) | |
| 3713 | 0.982 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.390%) | $1.002(-1.885%) | |
| 3714 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.397%) | $1.002(-1.923%) | |
| 3715 | 0.983 | $0.982 | $0.987 (-0.421%) | $1.002(-1.961%) | |
| 3716 | 0.991 | $0.982 | $0.987 (-0.454%) | $1.002(-1.973%) | |
| 3717 | 0.993 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.435%) | $1.002(-1.928%) | |
| 3718 | 0.984 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.405%) | $1.002(-1.911%) | |
| 3719 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.374%) | $1.002(-1.911%) | |
| 3720 | 0.984 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.341%) | $1.002(-1.888%) | |
| 3721 | 0.989 | $0.983 | $0.987 (-0.313%) | $1.002(-1.850%) | |
| 3722 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.308%) | $1.002(-1.874%) | |
| 3723 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.296%) | $1.002(-1.890%) | |
| 3724 | 0.984 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.274%) | $1.002(-1.876%) | |
| 3725 | 0.980 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.247%) | $1.002(-1.876%) | |
| 3726 | 0.983 | $0.983 | $0.986 (-0.220%) | $1.002(-1.859%) | |
| 3727 | 0.986 | $0.984 | $0.986 (-0.201%) | $1.002(-1.836%) | |
| 3728 | 0.995 | $0.984 | $0.986 (-0.178%) | $1.002(-1.770%) | |
| 3729 | 1.003 | $0.985 | $0.987 (-0.165%) | $1.002(-1.682%) | |
| 3730 | 0.999 | $0.986 | $0.987 (-0.139%) | $1.002(-1.603%) | |
| 3731 | 0.993 | $0.986 | $0.988 (-0.111%) | $1.002(-1.549%) | |
| 3732 | 0.993 | $0.987 | $0.988 (-0.070%) | $1.002(-1.482%) | |
| 3733 | 1.000 | $0.988 | $0.988 (-0.035%) | $1.002(-1.393%) | |
| 3734 | 0.998 | $0.989 | $0.989 (0.012%) | $1.002(-1.304%) | |
| 3735 | 0.989 | $0.989 | $0.989 (0.040%) | $1.002(-1.273%) | |
| 3736 | 0.991 | $0.989 | $0.989 (0.031%) | $1.002(-1.270%) | |
| 3737 | 0.988 | $0.989 | $0.989 (0.012%) | $1.002(-1.291%) | |
| 3738 | 0.997 | $0.990 | $0.989 (0.040%) | $1.002(-1.228%) | |
| 3739 | 0.990 | $0.990 | $0.989 (0.087%) | $1.002(-1.180%) | |
| 3740 | 0.991 | $0.990 | $0.989 (0.112%) | $1.002(-1.146%) | |
| 3741 | 0.986 | $0.990 | $0.989 (0.114%) | $1.002(-1.159%) | |
| 3742 | 0.990 | $0.991 | $0.989 (0.161%) | $1.002(-1.111%) | |
| 3743 | 0.999 | $0.992 | $0.990 (0.212%) | $1.002(-1.016%) | |
| 3744 | 1.001 | $0.993 | $0.990 (0.244%) | $1.002(-0.934%) | |
| 3745 | 1.010 | $0.994 | $0.991 (0.304%) | $1.002(-0.785%) | |
| 3746 | 1.014 | $0.996 | $0.992 (0.354%) | $1.002(-0.632%) | |
| 3747 | 1.020 | $0.997 | $0.993 (0.395%) | $1.002(-0.465%) | |
| 3748 | 1.020 | $0.999 | $0.995 (0.398%) | $1.002(-0.341%) | |
| 3749 | 1.015 | $0.999 | $0.995 (0.366%) | $1.002(-0.280%) | |
| 3750 | 1.020 | $1.000 | $0.997 (0.362%) | $1.002(-0.174%) | |
| 3751 | 1.020 | $1.002 | $0.998 (0.391%) | $1.002(-0.039%) | |
| 3752 | 1.020 | $1.003 | $0.999 (0.422%) | $1.002(0.094%) | |
| 3753 | 1.020 | $1.004 | $1.000 (0.426%) | $1.002(0.193%) | |
| 3754 | 1.015 | $1.005 | $1.000 (0.441%) | $1.002(0.279%) | |
| 3755 | 1.011 | $1.006 | $1.001 (0.501%) | $1.002(0.385%) | |
| 3756 | 1.019 | $1.007 | $1.002 (0.555%) | $1.002(0.520%) | |
| 3757 | 1.018 | $1.009 | $1.002 (0.628%) | $1.002(0.665%) | |
| 3758 | 1.008 | $1.009 | $1.003 (0.659%) | $1.002(0.721%) | |
| 3759 | 1.011 | $1.010 | $1.003 (0.728%) | $1.002(0.829%) | |
| 3760 | 1.007 | $1.011 | $1.003 (0.789%) | $1.002(0.908%) | |
| 3761 | 1.002 | $1.012 | $1.003 (0.873%) | $1.002(0.985%) | |
| 3762 | 0.998 | $1.012 | $1.003 (0.938%) | $1.002(1.025%) | |
| 3763 | 0.993 | $1.012 | $1.002 (0.953%) | $1.002(0.994%) | |
| 3764 | 0.986 | $1.011 | $1.002 (0.955%) | $1.002(0.922%) | |
| 3765 | 0.983 | $1.010 | $1.001 (0.907%) | $1.002(0.787%) | |
| 3766 | 0.986 | $1.008 | $1.000 (0.835%) | $1.002(0.647%) | |
| 3767 | 0.980 | $1.006 | $0.999 (0.727%) | $1.002(0.450%) | |
| 3768 | 0.980 | $1.004 | $0.998 (0.615%) | $1.002(0.251%) | |
| 3769 | 0.983 | $1.003 | $0.998 (0.526%) | $1.002(0.092%) | |
| 3770 | 0.980 | $1.001 | $0.997 (0.406%) | $1.002(-0.107%) | |
| 3771 | 0.988 | $0.999 | $0.996 (0.286%) | $1.002(-0.267%) | |
| 3772 | 0.994 | $0.998 | $0.996 (0.166%) | $1.002(-0.396%) | |
| 3773 | 0.999 | $0.997 | $0.996 (0.049%) | $1.002(-0.503%) | |
| 3774 | 1.007 | $0.996 | $0.997 (-0.041%) | $1.002(-0.545%) | |
| 3775 | 1.013 | $0.997 | $0.998 (-0.102%) | $1.002(-0.533%) | |
| 3776 | 1.007 | $0.996 | $0.998 (-0.202%) | $1.002(-0.590%) | |
| 3777 | 1.004 | $0.995 | $0.998 (-0.297%) | $1.002(-0.655%) | |
| 3778 | 1.000 | $0.995 | $0.998 (-0.344%) | $1.002(-0.694%) | |
| 3779 | 1.008 | $0.995 | $0.999 (-0.403%) | $1.002(-0.712%) | |
| 3780 | 1.006 | $0.995 | $0.999 (-0.441%) | $1.002(-0.720%) | |
| 3781 | 0.997 | $0.994 | $0.999 (-0.455%) | $1.002(-0.745%) | |
| 3782 | 1.000 | $0.995 | $0.999 (-0.447%) | $1.002(-0.732%) | |
| 3783 | 1.009 | $0.995 | $1.000 (-0.410%) | $1.002(-0.649%) | |
| 3784 | 1.009 | $0.997 | $1.000 (-0.338%) | $1.002(-0.535%) | |
| 3785 | 1.007 | $0.998 | $1.000 (-0.249%) | $1.002(-0.416%) | |
| 3786 | 1.005 | $0.999 | $1.000 (-0.174%) | $1.002(-0.322%) | |
| 3787 | 0.999 | $1.000 | $1.000 (-0.075%) | $1.002(-0.230%) | |
| 3788 | 1.005 | $1.001 | $1.001 (0.029%) | $1.002(-0.107%) | |
| 3789 | 1.006 | $1.002 | $1.001 (0.120%) | $1.002(0.008%) | |
| 3790 | 1.005 | $1.003 | $1.001 (0.226%) | $1.002(0.132%) | |
| 3791 | 1.003 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.293%) | $1.002(0.207%) | |
| 3792 | 0.997 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.325%) | $1.002(0.219%) | |
| 3793 | 1.005 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.339%) | $1.002(0.251%) | |
| 3794 | 0.996 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.308%) | $1.002(0.195%) | |
| 3795 | 1.005 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.250%) | $1.002(0.156%) | |
| 3796 | 1.008 | $1.004 | $1.001 (0.221%) | $1.002(0.158%) | |
| 3797 | 1.008 | $1.004 | $1.002 (0.209%) | $1.002(0.176%) | |
| 3798 | 1.004 | $1.004 | $1.002 (0.217%) | $1.002(0.195%) | |
| 3799 | 1.005 | $1.004 | $1.002 (0.190%) | $1.002(0.183%) | |
| Total of Ltd Ma Variations: -0.899 | Total of Std ma variations: -140.271 |